Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.171470 0.192797 0.215128 0.240201 0.267509 0.296295 0.328877
2025-02-23 0.148132 0.177821 0.210457 0.248803 0.292425 0.340304 0.396625
2025-03-02 0.125114 0.159323 0.198592 0.246592 0.303248 0.367561 0.445625
2025-03-09 0.108496 0.145794 0.190308 0.246645 0.315297 0.395477 0.495387
2025-03-16 0.094524 0.133628 0.182020 0.245246 0.324530 0.419493 0.540558
2025-03-23 0.085939 0.127130 0.179768 0.250473 0.341337 0.452511 0.596974
2025-03-30 0.076722 0.118726 0.174122 0.250550 0.351095 0.476606 0.642627
2025-04-06 0.068745 0.111118 0.168714 0.250209 0.359778 0.499100 0.686400
2025-04-13 0.061888 0.104350 0.163768 0.249872 0.368018 0.520830 0.729339
2025-04-20 0.056641 0.099378 0.160820 0.251835 0.379049 0.546138 0.777169
2025-04-27 0.053388 0.097064 0.161377 0.258498 0.396440 0.580027 0.836759
2025-05-04 0.049159 0.092810 0.158729 0.260284 0.406924 0.604732 0.884543
2025-05-11 0.045464 0.089256 0.157121 0.263818 0.420456 0.634607 0.940993
2025-05-18 0.043512 0.088385 0.159500 0.273264 0.442636 0.676823 1.015068
2025-05-25 0.039116 0.082927 0.154319 0.270987 0.447673 0.695325 1.057116
2025-06-01 0.035677 0.078784 0.150895 0.271100 0.456034 0.718498 1.105916
2025-06-08 0.032284 0.074358 0.146658 0.269624 0.461811 0.737970 1.149791
2025-06-15 0.030500 0.072746 0.146965 0.275270 0.478368 0.773111 1.216237
2025-06-22 0.027931 0.069351 0.143970 0.275363 0.486323 0.795865 1.265443
2025-06-29 0.025532 0.066026 0.140841 0.275001 0.493431 0.817396 1.313160
2025-07-06 0.023357 0.062912 0.137844 0.274641 0.500408 0.838749 1.360877
2025-07-13 0.021714 0.060740 0.136388 0.276755 0.511267 0.865997 1.417526
2025-07-20 0.020856 0.060186 0.137871 0.283930 0.530365 0.905918 1.493316